5 Players to Avoid at Their Current ADP

Love is sneaking into the second round in a lot of leagues right now and that price is simply too high. The Cardinals project as one of the worst offenses in the NFL in 2026 — a bad quarterback situation, a shaky offensive line, and a coaching staff still figuring out its identity. Even if Love handles the bulk of the carries, the volume ceiling is capped by game script. Arizona is going to be trailing early and often, which limits the run game. There are far better RB2 options available later in drafts.

McConkey had a promising rookie season but the offseason noise around him has pushed his ADP into uncomfortable territory. Quinten Johnston has been extremely vocal about his target expectations heading into 2026, and the Chargers' coaching staff has echoed that confidence. If Johnston commands the target share he's been promised, McConkey's role shrinks considerably. Drafting McConkey as a WR2 assumes he's the clear alpha in that offense — that assumption is no longer safe.

A.J. Brown does have a better quarterback situation than most people give him credit for — Drake May is a legitimate talent and the Patriots offense has more upside than the national narrative suggests. But the concerns here go beyond the QB. Brown is showing real signs of regression, and New England's offensive identity runs through the ground game. Rhamondre Stevenson and Henderson are the engine of this offense, and the Patriots are built to be a team that leads games and runs the clock. That game script limits Brown's target volume in a big way. You're drafting him in round 2 expecting a 120-target season — that's not happening in this system. The price is simply too high for what the situation actually allows.

Some professionals have Chase Brown projected ahead of Kenneth Walker, Derrick Henry, and Saquon Barkley — and that's a take worth pushing back on hard. Brown is a solid player, but the talent gap between him and those proven veterans is real. Beyond the talent question, the heavy workload projections are a concern in their own right. Running backs who absorb massive usage without elite athleticism tend to break down, and Brown doesn't have the track record to justify that kind of faith. His ADP has been inflated by offseason hype. Let someone else pay it.

Wilson is being drafted well above where his situation warrants. The Jets locked in Geno Smith at quarterback, which puts a hard ceiling on the offense's passing volume and big-play potential. New York also added a receiving tight end and a first-round wide receiver this offseason — both of whom will eat into the target share Wilson has relied on. He's a talented player, but the combination of a game-manager QB, a crowded target tree, and an ADP that doesn't reflect any of those concerns makes him a clear fade. There are better values available at his price.